The schedule is better and the Aggies have question marks, resulting in some early losses I think. I have NMSU going 22-9 overall, 8-5 in the non-conference and 7-5 entering Western Athletic Conference play.
I think between 13-15 wins in the WAC will put you into the Top 2 in the league standings. I have NMSU going 14-4 in WAC play.
I picked NMSU to lose tonight's opener at Oregon State, but they should beat SE Louisiana in their home opener next week. Bucknell beat Purdue on Friday night so that will be the tough game in Niagra next weekend. The Aggies can win both, lose both or split. I'm going with a split with a loss to Bucknell in another competitive game. Aggies come back to crush Northern New Mexico and Louisiana before going to UTEP, where I have them losing.
The Aggies beat Southern Miss at home and then lose two straight road games at South Alabama and New Mexico. NMSU returns the favor against the Lobos at home and beat Missouri State at home to enter conference play 7-5.
I think the Aggies start the WAC schedule 5-0, losing at Idaho. I also have them losing at UTSA, at Utah State and at Denver.
We will see how it shakes out, starting tonight.